Equity Analytics Hardcover Book - 2nd Edition
149.00 USD
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the Ultimate Guide to Data Driven Quantitative Research
Equity Analytics serves as a comprehensive resource for both academics and practitioners, providing a unique combination of essential theory and cutting-edge practice in quantitative finance. The Equities Entity Store framework empowers users to harness the full potential of the Wolfram Language and its ongoing advancements, creating a powerful tool for research and strategy development.
New Analytics in the Second Edition: The second edition is released with a significant upgrade to the Equities Entity Store, which now includes over 3,000 equity ETFs and Indices, and provides coverage of a significant number of completely new topics including:
- Equity Convexity factor modeling
- Vectorized backtesting with compiled functions
- Market Timing with ETFs
- Dynamic Time Warping
- Swing trading strategies
- Pairs Trading with Fractional Differencing
Audience: The book is designed for two primary audiences:
Part 1 provides a comprehensive introduction to the Equities Entity Store, a powerful tool designed to streamline and enhance the process of equity research and analysis. The author, an experienced quantitative researcher, shares his insights on the limitations of traditional equity research and highlights the advantages of the Equities Entity Store in addressing these challenges.
The Equities Entity Store is built on the Wolfram technology stack and leverages the Wolfram Language to provide a robust computational infrastructure. It offers a framework of research procedures and high-quality, computable data that can be seamlessly integrated into the analysis process. The store contains extensive data on equity indices, stocks (both listed and delisted), and ETFs, covering various markets and asset classes.
One of the key features of the Equities Entity Store is its comprehensive data coverage, which includes fundamental data (financial statements, key ratios), technical data (prices, returns, volatility), and sentiment data based on news and social media. The store also provides pre-computed exposures to common risk factors, such as the Fama-French factors, facilitating factor-based analysis and portfolio construction.
The author emphasizes the importance of using a dataset that includes both listed and delisted stocks to mitigate survivor bias in analysis. The Equities Entity Store classifies equities according to various sector taxonomies (GICS, SIC, TRBC), enabling researchers to conduct sector-specific analyses and compare performance across different classification schemes.
Detailed historical performance data is available for each entity in the store, including return, risk, and factor-related metrics. The data is provided as flexible and computable time series objects in various frequencies (daily, monthly, etc.), allowing seamless integration into the research workflow. The store also includes productivity-enhancing tools, such as functions for aligning time series and extracting return series.
Part I of "Equity Analytics" not only introduces the Equities Entity Store but also guides readers through its structure and components, providing examples and use cases along the way. The author demonstrates how the store streamlines the research process by handling the complex and time-consuming aspects of data procurement and preprocessing, allowing researchers to focus on alpha generation and strategy development.
Part II of the book delves into the fascinating realm of single-stock analytics, exploring a range of powerful techniques and strategies for analyzing and trading individual equities.
The section begins by highlighting the allure of single-stock strategies, which, unlike portfolio-based approaches, seek to identify unique risk opportunities in individual stocks that may yield abnormal returns. The author acknowledges the significant challenges inherent in this pursuit, including the need to uncover insights overlooked by other analysts, the efficient market hypothesis, and the requirement for economically significant and realizable benefits.
Despite these challenges, the author demonstrates how the Equities Entity Store can be leveraged to develop sophisticated single-stock analytics. The section introduces several innovative techniques, such as dynamic time warping for identifying similar historical price patterns, fractional differentiation for capturing long-memory effects, and anomaly detection for identifying unusual trading opportunities.
A particularly intriguing concept explored in Part II is the Internal Bar Strength (IBS) indicator, which measures the position of a stock's daily close relative to its daily range. The author presents compelling evidence of the IBS effect, showing how it can be used to generate profitable trading signals across a wide range of equities and ETFs. The IBS indicator is seamlessly integrated into the Equities Entity Store, making it easily accessible for traders and analysts.
Part II also delves into the application of machine learning techniques, such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, for forecasting stock returns. While acknowledging the challenges of applying machine learning to financial markets, the author presents a balanced perspective, highlighting the potential benefits while cautioning against overstating the capabilities of these methods.
Part III explores pairs trading, a market-neutral strategy that seeks to profit from the relative price movements of two highly correlated financial instruments. The author provides a comprehensive overview of the various techniques and considerations involved in implementing successful pairs trading strategies, drawing upon his extensive experience as a quantitative researcher and practitioner.
The section begins by introducing the concept of pairs trading and its underlying principles. The author explains how pairs trading involves simultaneously buying and selling two correlated instruments, with the aim of profiting from the convergence of their prices towards their historical relationship. The discussion covers key terminology and techniques, such as statistical arbitrage, correlation analysis, cointegration, spread trading, and risk management.
A significant portion of Part III is dedicated to a detailed case study of a pairs trade involving Pepsi (PEP) and Coca-Cola (KO). The author walks readers through the process of selecting an appropriate pairs trading model, beginning with a simple Kalman filter approach applied to the log-returns series of the two stocks. While this method successfully eliminates market risk, the author notes that residual factor risk may persist due to differences in factor exposures between the two stocks.
To address this issue, the author introduces the Fama-French 5-factor model as a means of mitigating factor risk in the pairs portfolio. By first fitting the factor model to each stock's returns and then applying the Kalman filter to the residuals, the strategy achieves improved risk-adjusted performance. The author provides a step-by-step implementation of this enhanced pairs trading strategy, complete with detailed backtesting results.
Part III also explores alternative approaches to pairs trading, such as the use of Bollinger Bands applied to the spread between normalized stock prices. The author challenges the conventional wisdom of using Bollinger Bands as a mean-reversion indicator, demonstrating that they often act as momentum signals in practice. By reversing the Bollinger Band signals, the strategy generates positive returns, highlighting the importance of adapting technical tools to the specific dynamics of the traded instruments.
Another key contribution of Part III is the introduction of fractional differencing as a powerful technique for pairs trading. The author explains how fractional differencing can be used to extract stationary spreads from the non-stationary price series of a stock pair. By applying fractional differencing to the PEP-KO pair and then fitting a Kalman filter to the resulting series, the strategy achieves the best risk-adjusted performance among all the methods tested.
Throughout the section, the author emphasizes the importance of rigorous backtesting and performance evaluation. The Equities Entity Store's built-in backtesting system is leveraged to assess the strategies' performance across various metrics, including return, volatility, drawdown, and risk-adjusted ratios. The author also highlights the need to consider transaction costs, risk management, and the economic rationale behind each pairs trade.
Part IV of the book covers Portfolio Analytics, diving into key concepts and methodologies for constructing and analyzing equity portfolios.
The section begins by reviewing the core concepts of Modern Portfolio Theory, the groundbreaking work by Harry Markowitz that established a mathematical framework for portfolio construction based on maximizing expected return for a given level of risk. It explains how to identify efficient portfolios that provide the optimal risk-return tradeoff, as depicted by the efficient frontier. The Wolfram Language is used to illustrate these concepts and construct optimal portfolios.
Next, the limitations of Modern Portfolio Theory are discussed, leading into an exploration of Post-Modern Portfolio Theory which addresses issues like downside risk and non-normal return distributions. The Sortino ratio, which focuses on downside deviation, is introduced as an alternative to the Sharpe ratio.
The following section tackles the challenging problem of constructing factor-neutral portfolios - attempting to neutralize exposure to risk factors like size, value, and momentum while still generating alpha. Several approaches are tested and the difficulty of maintaining consistent factor neutrality is demonstrated.
Style investing is then examined, showing how to categorize portfolios into different style buckets based on their factor exposures using clustering techniques. This can provide insight into a portfolio's characteristics beyond simple performance metrics.
The power of using fundamental data like financial ratios for stock selection is illustrated by creating a value portfolio that selects stocks with low EV/EBITDA ratios. By selecting stocks quantitatively using key fundamentals, this portfolio is able to significantly outperform the market over a 22-year test period.
Finally, long-short equity strategies are studied as an alternative to long-only investing. While shorting can provide a hedge, realistic examples show the difficulty of generating compelling risk-adjusted returns with long-short portfolios compared to long-only.
Part V of the book on Quantitative Strategies explores cutting-edge techniques for constructing and analyzing equity portfolios using advanced mathematical and machine learning models.
The section begins by introducing the concept of Equity Convexity, drawing parallels between the well-established notion of convexity in fixed-income and its potential application to equity analysis. It explains how stocks with lower convexity may exhibit more stable risk-adjusted performance. A case study demonstrates that a low-convexity portfolio, rebalanced monthly, can significantly outperform the S&P 500 benchmark over a 28-year period.
Next, the book examines Cross-Sectional Equity Strategies, which aim to exploit differences in expected returns across stocks based on various factors. It covers ranking strategies, where stocks are sorted into decile portfolios based on a chosen criterion like momentum. A detailed 23-year backtest illustrates the substantial momentum effect, with the top decile portfolio strongly outperforming the bottom decile. The analysis also explores the challenges of constructing market-neutral long-short portfolios.
The following section focuses on Machine Learning Cross-Sectional Strategies. It demonstrates how to use classification algorithms to predict stock rankings and construct decile portfolios. The Wolfram Language's Classify function is used to build the model, with techniques like probability calibration employed to optimize allocation to deciles. The resulting strategy, tested over a 23-year period, shows the top decile significantly outperforming the bottom decile, with the long-short portfolio delivering superior risk-adjusted returns.
Finally, the book introduces Predict-Then-Rank Cross-Sectional Strategies, which forecast individual stock returns using machine learning methods like the Wolfram Language's Predict function, and then rank stocks based on these predictions. While the top decile outperforms the bottom decile over a 23-year backtest, the higher volatility leads to similar risk-adjusted performance for both portfolios, with little benefit from a long-short approach. This underscores the challenge of forecasting equity returns, even with advanced machine learning techniques.
Throughout the section, detailed code examples in the Wolfram Language make the quantitative concepts concrete and accessible. The rigorous backtesting over long time horizons lends credibility to the strategies presented.
In summary, this section equips the reader with a powerful toolbox of quantitative techniques for equity portfolio construction and analysis. By blending mathematical models, machine learning algorithms, and extensive empirical testing, it provides a comprehensive guide to implementing state-of-the-art quantitative equity strategies. The real-world case studies and detailed code make it an invaluable resource for quantitative researchers and portfolio managers looking to bring advanced techniques to bear on the challenge of equity investing.
New in 2nd Edition: Real-Time Algorithmic Trading
The second edition of the book introduces a significant enhancement to the Equities Entity Store: seamless connectivity to the Interactive Brokers Trader Workstation (TWS) platform. This powerful integration allows users to access real-time market data and leverage sophisticated order routing functionalities directly from within Mathematica. Users can effortlessly retrieve live quotes, access order and position data, and execute both simple and complex algorithmic orders.
Real-time connectivity enables users to dynamically update model parameters based on current market conditions, adapting to changing market dynamics and making more accurate forecasts. The integration also facilitates the creation of simulated trading environments, allowing users to thoroughly test and validate their strategies before deploying them in live markets. By leveraging historical data and real-time market feeds, users can assess the performance of their algorithms under various market scenarios.
Real-time monitoring capabilities empower users to track the performance of their trading strategies in real-time. With access to live position and execution data, users can promptly identify and address any issues, ensuring the smooth operation of their algorithmic trading systems. The combination of Mathematica's analytical prowess and Interactive Brokers' robust trading infrastructure opens up new possibilities for researchers, quantitative analysts, and traders alike.
This integration also streamlines the workflow for quantitative researchers and traders by providing a unified platform for data analysis, strategy development, and trade execution. Users can seamlessly transition from backtesting their strategies using historical data to implementing them in live markets, all within the familiar and powerful Mathematica environment. This eliminates the need for multiple tools and platforms, enhancing efficiency and reducing the potential for errors in the trading process.
Equity Analytics Hardcover Book - 2nd Edition
149.00 USD
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Dr Jonathan Kinlay is quantitative researcher and founder of Intelligent Technologies, a consulting firm advising hedge funds and proprietary trading firms on investment strategy and algorithmic trading.
Dr. Kinlay was founder and Head of Quantitative Research at Systematic Strategies, LLC, a systematic hedge fund that deploys high frequency trading strategies using news-based algorithms.
He was the founder and General Partner of the Caissa Capital hedge fund, which managed over $400M in assets and of Proteom Capital, whose statistical arbitrage strategies were based on pattern recognition techniques used in DNA sequencing.
Dr Kinlay was formerly Global Head of Model Review at the US investment bank Bear Stearns.
Dr Kinlay has a PhD degree in economics and has held positions on the faculty of New York University's Stern School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University and the University of Reading.
The equities entity store is designed to act as a productivity multiplier, accelerating the pace of research and producing high quality, actionable output that will feed directly into the creation of production-ready trading systems.
It's a new approach to computational finance.
Summarize the content of this book
ChatGPT:
The book "Equity Analytics" by Jonathan Kinlay, PhD, provides a comprehensive exploration of strategies, models, and techniques in computational finance, particularly focusing on equity markets. It serves as both an advanced textbook and a practical guide for financial professionals, leveraging the powerful computational capabilities of the Wolfram Language and the Equities Entity Store—a curated dataset for equity analytics.
Here’s a summary of the content divided by the major parts:
The book is rich with practical examples, code snippets, and applications, making it an invaluable resource for those involved in the quantitative analysis of financial markets. It’s designed to assist readers in not only understanding theoretical concepts but also applying them in real-world scenarios.
What new content does the second edition of the book contain?
ChatGPT: The second edition of "Equity Analytics" includes several major upgrades and additions, which significantly enhance its content and utility in the field of computational finance. Here are the key new additions:
These enhancements not only update the book's theoretical foundations and practical applications but also ensure it remains at the cutting edge of technology and finance. The integration with real-time trading platforms and the expansion of the Equities Entity Store make this edition particularly valuable for practitioners and researchers aiming to apply advanced quantitative techniques in their trading strategies.
What level of expertise is required to understand this book and benefit from reading it?
ChatGPT: Based on the content and topics covered in "Equity Analytics" by Jonathan Kinlay, PhD, the book is intended for readers with an intermediate to advanced level of understanding in finance, particularly those familiar with quantitative trading, portfolio analytics, and statistical arbitrage.
The book addresses complex topics such as equity indices, factor models, algorithmic trading strategies, and the integration of statistical methods with real-time trading platforms. These subjects typically require a solid foundation in financial theory, statistics, and some understanding of programming or algorithmic concepts, especially given the use of the Wolfram Language throughout the book.
However, the detailed explanations and the structured approach to each topic make it accessible to motivated readers who are willing to engage with complex subjects. As with any technical book, the level of expertise required can also depend on the reader's goals—whether they aim to fully understand and apply the concepts, or simply to gain a general overview of the topics discussed.
For students or professionals in quantitative finance, computational finance, or financial engineering, this book would be particularly beneficial. It also serves as a valuable resource for practitioners in finance who wish to deepen their knowledge of advanced equity analytics and real-time trading strategies.
What level of familiarity with the Wolfram Language is required to understand the topics in this book?
ChatGPT: The book makes extensive use of the Wolfram Language for its examples and demonstrations. The Wolfram Language is used in a variety of contexts within the book, including data analysis, modeling, and visualization.
Given the nature of the tasks performed with the Wolfram Language in this book, a reader would likely need an intermediate to advanced understanding of the language to fully grasp the material. This includes familiarity with Wolfram Language syntax, functions, and data structures, as well as understanding how to use the language for data manipulation, analysis, and visualization tasks.
However, the book seems to provide detailed explanations and code examples, which could help readers who are less familiar with the Wolfram Language to follow along. Additionally, the Wolfram Language has extensive documentation and resources available online, which can be a helpful supplement for readers looking to deepen their understanding of the language while working through the book.
Overall, while some prior knowledge of the Wolfram Language will definitely enhance the reader's ability to quickly grasp the concepts and examples presented, the thorough explanations in the book should make it accessible to those who are committed to learning and applying its content effectively.
Would this book provide a suitable basis for a course in computational finance at Master's or PhD. degree level?
ChatGPT: Based on the content and depth of topics covered in "Equity Analytics" by Jonathan Kinlay, PhD, the book could indeed serve as a suitable basis for a course in computational finance at a Master's or PhD degree level.
The book covers a range of advanced topics in equity analytics, including single-stock analytics, pairs trading, portfolio analytics, quantitative strategies, and statistical arbitrage. These topics are central to computational finance and are often covered in graduate-level courses in this field.
Moreover, the book provides practical examples and applications using the Wolfram Language and the Equities Entity Store, which could be valuable for students looking to gain hands-on experience with these tools. The use of a programming language like Wolfram also aligns with the computational aspect of such courses, where programming and data analysis skills are often emphasized.
However, it's important to note that the suitability of the book would also depend on the specific learning objectives and curriculum of the course. While the book appears to cover many relevant topics, additional resources might be needed to cover other aspects of computational finance not addressed in the book, such as derivative pricing, risk management, or certain aspects of financial econometrics.
Finally, the book's approach, which combines theory with practical applications and coding, could be particularly useful in a course setting, as it would allow students to apply and test the concepts they learn in a practical, hands-on way.
What are the pros and cons of using the Wolfram Language for computational finance?
ChatGPT: The Wolfram Language, developed by Wolfram Research, is renowned for its integrated, powerful capabilities particularly suitable for scientific, technical, and algorithmic computing. Here are some pros and cons of using the Wolfram Language for computational finance:
In summary, the Wolfram Language offers a rich, integrated environment that's highly suitable for complex, computationally intensive tasks in computational finance. However, its cost, learning curve, and integration challenges with other systems might be drawbacks depending on the specific needs and existing infrastructure of users or organizations.
Provide a summary description of the Equities Entity Store. How is it useful to an analyst?
ChatGPT: The Equities Entity Store is a comprehensive, structured repository designed for storing, processing, and analyzing a wide range of equity data. It utilizes the powerful Wolfram Language to facilitate advanced data analysis and modeling, offering an integrated platform that combines data storage with analytical tools.
What are its main advantages and disadvantages?
ChatGPT:
Advantages:
Disadvantages:
Overall, the Equities Entity Store is a robust tool that can significantly enhance an analyst's ability to perform detailed, efficient equity analysis and develop sophisticated trading strategies. Its integration of data and analytical tools in one platform offers a powerful resource for quantitative financial analysis.
Equity Analytics Hardcover Book - 2nd Edition
149.00 USD
Thank you for your purchase
You will receive an email as soon as your book ships.
In the meantime, why not check out the Equities Entity Store?